2025-09-18 TACO Pressure Index Update: Low at 15.95
The daily signal helps separate noise from persistent multi-factor stress. On 2025-09-18, the score printed 15.95/100 in the low regime, with inflation expectations and front-end rate pressure doing most of the work. Equities also provided visible relief through a positive 5-session move.
Policy pressure tracker for 2025-09-18: the TACO Pressure Index closed at 15.95/100, signaling a low pressure regime as inflation expectations and front-end rate pressure shaped the daily read. A positive 5-session S&P move also added equity relief. See the chart pack, score regime, and what drove the latest reading.
Pressure history
Composite score history
Trailing 9 sessions through 2025-09-18
Latest component scores
Today’s component breakdown
Inflation expectations pressure
32.40/100
Inflation pressure reflects both the breakeven level and any fresh 5-session rise.
2Y Treasury rate pressure
23.20/100
Rates pressure reflects both the current 2Y level and any fresh 5-session rise.
VIX volatility pressure
14.97/100
Higher implied volatility usually means greater market stress.
S&P 500 equity signal
-6.75/100
A 5-session drawdown adds pressure. A 5-session rally adds relief and can partially offset the composite score.
Method in one paragraph
The TACO Pressure Index converts four live market inputs into comparable component scores and combines them into one composite reading. The equity leg is symmetric: 5-session drawdowns add pressure, while 5-session rallies add relief and can partially offset the total score. Rates, inflation, and volatility still combine a level component with a 5-session change component before the final result is grouped into LOW, ELEVATED, HIGH, and EXTREME regimes.