2025-09-22 TACO Pressure Index Update: Low at 14.21
It is not a forecast of policy decisions; it is a structured way to monitor pressure building across markets. On 2025-09-22, the score printed 14.21/100 in the low regime, with front-end rate pressure and inflation expectations doing most of the work. Equities also provided visible relief through a positive 5-session move.
Today’s retreat-pressure snapshot for 2025-09-22: the TACO Pressure Index closed at 14.21/100, signaling a low pressure regime as front-end rate pressure and inflation expectations shaped the daily read. A positive 5-session S&P move also added equity relief. Explore the score history, daily post, and the four-factor dashboard.
Pressure history
Composite score history
Trailing 11 sessions through 2025-09-22
Latest component scores
Today’s component breakdown
2Y Treasury rate pressure
27.47/100
Rates pressure reflects both the current 2Y level and any fresh 5-session rise.
Inflation expectations pressure
27.20/100
Inflation pressure reflects both the breakeven level and any fresh 5-session rise.
VIX volatility pressure
14.02/100
Higher implied volatility usually means greater market stress.
S&P 500 equity signal
-11.86/100
A 5-session drawdown adds pressure. A 5-session rally adds relief and can partially offset the composite score.
Method in one paragraph
The TACO Pressure Index converts four live market inputs into comparable component scores and combines them into one composite reading. The equity leg is symmetric: 5-session drawdowns add pressure, while 5-session rallies add relief and can partially offset the total score. Rates, inflation, and volatility still combine a level component with a 5-session change component before the final result is grouped into LOW, ELEVATED, HIGH, and EXTREME regimes.