2025-10-10 TACO Pressure Index Update: Elevated at 32.92

This custom framework combines equities, front-end rates, inflation expectations, and volatility into one daily score. On 2025-10-10, the score printed 32.92/100 in the elevated regime, with equity signal and volatility doing most of the work.

Composite score32.92
RegimeELEVATED
Published2025-10-10

Fresh macro pressure read for 2025-10-10: the TACO Pressure Index closed at 32.92/100, signaling a elevated pressure regime as equity signal and volatility shaped the daily read. See the chart pack, score regime, and what drove the latest reading.

Pressure history

Composite score history

Trailing 25 sessions through 2025-10-10

Latest component scores

Bar chart of the latest component scores

Today’s component breakdown

S&P 500 equity signal

48.63/100

-2.43% vs 5 sessions | pressure 48.63 | relief 0.00 signed 5-session move

Latest: 6,552.51 on 2025-10-10

A 5-session drawdown adds pressure. A 5-session rally adds relief and can partially offset the composite score.

VIX volatility pressure

48.19/100

21.66 index level

Latest: 21.66 on 2025-10-10

Higher implied volatility usually means greater market stress.

Inflation expectations pressure

21.00/100

2.35% level, -3.00 bp vs 5 sessions 60% level + 40% change

Latest: 2.35 on 2025-10-10

Inflation pressure reflects both the breakeven level and any fresh 5-session rise.

2Y Treasury rate pressure

13.87/100

3.52% level, -6.00 bp vs 5 sessions 60% level + 40% change

Latest: 3.52 on 2025-10-10

Rates pressure reflects both the current 2Y level and any fresh 5-session rise.

Method in one paragraph

The TACO Pressure Index converts four live market inputs into comparable component scores and combines them into one composite reading. The equity leg is symmetric: 5-session drawdowns add pressure, while 5-session rallies add relief and can partially offset the total score. Rates, inflation, and volatility still combine a level component with a 5-session change component before the final result is grouped into LOW, ELEVATED, HIGH, and EXTREME regimes.