2025-10-16 TACO Pressure Index Update: Elevated at 34.88
This custom framework combines equities, front-end rates, inflation expectations, and volatility into one daily score. On 2025-10-16, the score printed 34.88/100 in the elevated regime, with volatility and equity signal doing most of the work.
Automated market-pressure update for 2025-10-16: the TACO Pressure Index closed at 34.88/100, signaling a elevated pressure regime as volatility and equity signal shaped the daily read. Includes charts, a component breakdown, and a narrative summary.
Pressure history
Composite score history
Trailing 28 sessions through 2025-10-16
Latest component scores
Today’s component breakdown
VIX volatility pressure
74.30/100
Higher implied volatility usually means greater market stress.
S&P 500 equity signal
36.91/100
A 5-session drawdown adds pressure. A 5-session rally adds relief and can partially offset the composite score.
Inflation expectations pressure
17.40/100
Inflation pressure reflects both the breakeven level and any fresh 5-session rise.
2Y Treasury rate pressure
10.93/100
Rates pressure reflects both the current 2Y level and any fresh 5-session rise.
Method in one paragraph
The TACO Pressure Index converts four live market inputs into comparable component scores and combines them into one composite reading. The equity leg is symmetric: 5-session drawdowns add pressure, while 5-session rallies add relief and can partially offset the total score. Rates, inflation, and volatility still combine a level component with a 5-session change component before the final result is grouped into LOW, ELEVATED, HIGH, and EXTREME regimes.