2025-10-30 TACO Pressure Index Update: Low at 15.59
This custom framework combines equities, front-end rates, inflation expectations, and volatility into one daily score. On 2025-10-30, the score printed 15.59/100 in the low regime, with front-end rate pressure and inflation expectations doing most of the work. Equities also provided visible relief through a positive 5-session move.
New daily signal for 2025-10-30: the TACO Pressure Index closed at 15.59/100, signaling a low pressure regime as front-end rate pressure and inflation expectations shaped the daily read. A positive 5-session S&P move also added equity relief. Read the charts, latest moves, and a concise market interpretation.
Pressure history
Composite score history
Trailing 38 sessions through 2025-10-30
Latest component scores
Today’s component breakdown
2Y Treasury rate pressure
37.07/100
Rates pressure reflects both the current 2Y level and any fresh 5-session rise.
Inflation expectations pressure
22.80/100
Inflation pressure reflects both the breakeven level and any fresh 5-session rise.
VIX volatility pressure
14.94/100
Higher implied volatility usually means greater market stress.
S&P 500 equity signal
-12.45/100
A 5-session drawdown adds pressure. A 5-session rally adds relief and can partially offset the composite score.
Method in one paragraph
The TACO Pressure Index converts four live market inputs into comparable component scores and combines them into one composite reading. The equity leg is symmetric: 5-session drawdowns add pressure, while 5-session rallies add relief and can partially offset the total score. Rates, inflation, and volatility still combine a level component with a 5-session change component before the final result is grouped into LOW, ELEVATED, HIGH, and EXTREME regimes.