2025-11-03 TACO Pressure Index Update: Low at 23.87

This custom framework combines equities, front-end rates, inflation expectations, and volatility into one daily score. On 2025-11-03, the score printed 23.87/100 in the low regime, with front-end rate pressure and inflation expectations doing most of the work.

Composite score23.87
RegimeLOW
Published2025-11-03

Automated market-pressure update for 2025-11-03: the TACO Pressure Index closed at 23.87/100, signaling a low pressure regime as front-end rate pressure and inflation expectations shaped the daily read. Includes charts, a component breakdown, and a narrative summary.

Pressure history

Composite score history

Trailing 40 sessions through 2025-11-03

Latest component scores

Bar chart of the latest component scores

Today’s component breakdown

2Y Treasury rate pressure

35.20/100

3.60% level, +12.00 bp vs 5 sessions 60% level + 40% change

Latest: 3.60 on 2025-11-03

Rates pressure reflects both the current 2Y level and any fresh 5-session rise.

Inflation expectations pressure

32.60/100

2.41% level, +4.00 bp vs 5 sessions 60% level + 40% change

Latest: 2.41 on 2025-11-03

Inflation pressure reflects both the breakeven level and any fresh 5-session rise.

VIX volatility pressure

20.91/100

17.17 index level

Latest: 17.17 on 2025-11-03

Higher implied volatility usually means greater market stress.

S&P 500 equity signal

6.75/100

-0.34% vs 5 sessions | pressure 6.75 | relief 0.00 signed 5-session move

Latest: 6,851.97 on 2025-11-03

A 5-session drawdown adds pressure. A 5-session rally adds relief and can partially offset the composite score.

Method in one paragraph

The TACO Pressure Index converts four live market inputs into comparable component scores and combines them into one composite reading. The equity leg is symmetric: 5-session drawdowns add pressure, while 5-session rallies add relief and can partially offset the total score. Rates, inflation, and volatility still combine a level component with a 5-session change component before the final result is grouped into LOW, ELEVATED, HIGH, and EXTREME regimes.