2025-11-05 TACO Pressure Index Update: Elevated at 25.09

This custom framework combines equities, front-end rates, inflation expectations, and volatility into one daily score. On 2025-11-05, the score printed 25.09/100 in the elevated regime, with inflation expectations and equity signal doing most of the work.

Composite score25.09
RegimeELEVATED
Published2025-11-05

Fresh macro pressure read for 2025-11-05: the TACO Pressure Index closed at 25.09/100, signaling a elevated pressure regime as inflation expectations and equity signal shaped the daily read. Read the charts, latest moves, and a concise market interpretation.

Pressure history

Composite score history

Trailing 42 sessions through 2025-11-05

Latest component scores

Bar chart of the latest component scores

Today’s component breakdown

Inflation expectations pressure

27.40/100

2.39% level, +2.00 bp vs 5 sessions 60% level + 40% change

Latest: 2.39 on 2025-11-05

Inflation pressure reflects both the breakeven level and any fresh 5-session rise.

S&P 500 equity signal

27.37/100

-1.37% vs 5 sessions | pressure 27.37 | relief 0.00 signed 5-session move

Latest: 6,796.29 on 2025-11-05

A 5-session drawdown adds pressure. A 5-session rally adds relief and can partially offset the composite score.

2Y Treasury rate pressure

23.20/100

3.63% level, +4.00 bp vs 5 sessions 60% level + 40% change

Latest: 3.63 on 2025-11-05

Rates pressure reflects both the current 2Y level and any fresh 5-session rise.

VIX volatility pressure

22.38/100

18.01 index level

Latest: 18.01 on 2025-11-05

Higher implied volatility usually means greater market stress.

Method in one paragraph

The TACO Pressure Index converts four live market inputs into comparable component scores and combines them into one composite reading. The equity leg is symmetric: 5-session drawdowns add pressure, while 5-session rallies add relief and can partially offset the total score. Rates, inflation, and volatility still combine a level component with a 5-session change component before the final result is grouped into LOW, ELEVATED, HIGH, and EXTREME regimes.