2025-11-13 TACO Pressure Index Update: Low at 21.70
The index is designed to approximate how market stress can build pressure for a softer policy posture. On 2025-11-13, the score printed 21.70/100 in the low regime, with volatility and inflation expectations doing most of the work.
Fresh macro pressure read for 2025-11-13: the TACO Pressure Index closed at 21.70/100, signaling a low pressure regime as volatility and inflation expectations shaped the daily read. Includes charts, a component breakdown, and a narrative summary.
Pressure history
Composite score history
Trailing 47 sessions through 2025-11-13
Latest component scores
Today’s component breakdown
VIX volatility pressure
31.81/100
Higher implied volatility usually means greater market stress.
Inflation expectations pressure
22.20/100
Inflation pressure reflects both the breakeven level and any fresh 5-session rise.
S&P 500 equity signal
17.30/100
A 5-session drawdown adds pressure. A 5-session rally adds relief and can partially offset the composite score.
2Y Treasury rate pressure
15.47/100
Rates pressure reflects both the current 2Y level and any fresh 5-session rise.
Method in one paragraph
The TACO Pressure Index converts four live market inputs into comparable component scores and combines them into one composite reading. The equity leg is symmetric: 5-session drawdowns add pressure, while 5-session rallies add relief and can partially offset the total score. Rates, inflation, and volatility still combine a level component with a 5-session change component before the final result is grouped into LOW, ELEVATED, HIGH, and EXTREME regimes.