2025-11-14 TACO Pressure Index Update: Low at 18.09

The daily signal helps separate noise from persistent multi-factor stress. On 2025-11-14, the score printed 18.09/100 in the low regime, with volatility and inflation expectations doing most of the work.

Composite score18.09
RegimeLOW
Published2025-11-14

Policy pressure tracker for 2025-11-14: the TACO Pressure Index closed at 18.09/100, signaling a low pressure regime as volatility and inflation expectations shaped the daily read. Includes charts, a component breakdown, and a narrative summary.

Pressure history

Composite score history

Trailing 48 sessions through 2025-11-14

Latest component scores

Bar chart of the latest component scores

Today’s component breakdown

VIX volatility pressure

25.07/100

19.83 index level

Latest: 19.83 on 2025-11-14

Higher implied volatility usually means greater market stress.

Inflation expectations pressure

24.80/100

2.38% level, +1.00 bp vs 5 sessions 60% level + 40% change

Latest: 2.38 on 2025-11-14

Inflation pressure reflects both the breakeven level and any fresh 5-session rise.

2Y Treasury rate pressure

24.53/100

3.62% level, +5.00 bp vs 5 sessions 60% level + 40% change

Latest: 3.62 on 2025-11-14

Rates pressure reflects both the current 2Y level and any fresh 5-session rise.

S&P 500 equity signal

-2.05/100

+0.21% vs 5 sessions | pressure 0.00 | relief 4.10 signed 5-session move

Latest: 6,734.11 on 2025-11-14

A 5-session drawdown adds pressure. A 5-session rally adds relief and can partially offset the composite score.

Method in one paragraph

The TACO Pressure Index converts four live market inputs into comparable component scores and combines them into one composite reading. The equity leg is symmetric: 5-session drawdowns add pressure, while 5-session rallies add relief and can partially offset the total score. Rates, inflation, and volatility still combine a level component with a 5-session change component before the final result is grouped into LOW, ELEVATED, HIGH, and EXTREME regimes.