2025-11-17 TACO Pressure Index Update: Elevated at 27.23

The index is designed to approximate how market stress can build pressure for a softer policy posture. On 2025-11-17, the score printed 27.23/100 in the elevated regime, with volatility and inflation expectations doing most of the work.

Composite score27.23
RegimeELEVATED
Published2025-11-17

New daily signal for 2025-11-17: the TACO Pressure Index closed at 27.23/100, signaling a elevated pressure regime as volatility and inflation expectations shaped the daily read. See the chart pack, score regime, and what drove the latest reading.

Pressure history

Composite score history

Trailing 49 sessions through 2025-11-17

Latest component scores

Bar chart of the latest component scores

Today’s component breakdown

VIX volatility pressure

43.97/100

22.38 index level

Latest: 22.38 on 2025-11-17

Higher implied volatility usually means greater market stress.

Inflation expectations pressure

24.20/100

2.37% level, +1.00 bp vs 5 sessions 60% level + 40% change

Latest: 2.37 on 2025-11-17

Inflation pressure reflects both the breakeven level and any fresh 5-session rise.

2Y Treasury rate pressure

24.00/100

3.60% level, +5.00 bp vs 5 sessions 60% level + 40% change

Latest: 3.60 on 2025-11-17

Rates pressure reflects both the current 2Y level and any fresh 5-session rise.

S&P 500 equity signal

16.76/100

-0.84% vs 5 sessions | pressure 16.76 | relief 0.00 signed 5-session move

Latest: 6,672.41 on 2025-11-17

A 5-session drawdown adds pressure. A 5-session rally adds relief and can partially offset the composite score.

Method in one paragraph

The TACO Pressure Index converts four live market inputs into comparable component scores and combines them into one composite reading. The equity leg is symmetric: 5-session drawdowns add pressure, while 5-session rallies add relief and can partially offset the total score. Rates, inflation, and volatility still combine a level component with a 5-session change component before the final result is grouped into LOW, ELEVATED, HIGH, and EXTREME regimes.