2025-11-24 TACO Pressure Index Update: Low at 12.82

It is not a forecast of policy decisions; it is a structured way to monitor pressure building across markets. On 2025-11-24, the score printed 12.82/100 in the low regime, with volatility and inflation expectations doing most of the work. Equities also provided visible relief through a positive 5-session move.

Composite score12.82
RegimeLOW
Published2025-11-24

Fresh macro pressure read for 2025-11-24: the TACO Pressure Index closed at 12.82/100, signaling a low pressure regime as volatility and inflation expectations shaped the daily read. A positive 5-session S&P move also added equity relief. See the chart pack, score regime, and what drove the latest reading.

Pressure history

Composite score history

Trailing 54 sessions through 2025-11-24

Latest component scores

Bar chart of the latest component scores

Today’s component breakdown

VIX volatility pressure

25.93/100

20.52 index level

Latest: 20.52 on 2025-11-24

Higher implied volatility usually means greater market stress.

Inflation expectations pressure

18.00/100

2.30% level, -7.00 bp vs 5 sessions 60% level + 40% change

Latest: 2.30 on 2025-11-24

Inflation pressure reflects both the breakeven level and any fresh 5-session rise.

2Y Treasury rate pressure

12.27/100

3.46% level, -14.00 bp vs 5 sessions 60% level + 40% change

Latest: 3.46 on 2025-11-24

Rates pressure reflects both the current 2Y level and any fresh 5-session rise.

S&P 500 equity signal

-4.90/100

+0.49% vs 5 sessions | pressure 0.00 | relief 9.80 signed 5-session move

Latest: 6,705.12 on 2025-11-24

A 5-session drawdown adds pressure. A 5-session rally adds relief and can partially offset the composite score.

Method in one paragraph

The TACO Pressure Index converts four live market inputs into comparable component scores and combines them into one composite reading. The equity leg is symmetric: 5-session drawdowns add pressure, while 5-session rallies add relief and can partially offset the total score. Rates, inflation, and volatility still combine a level component with a 5-session change component before the final result is grouped into LOW, ELEVATED, HIGH, and EXTREME regimes.