2025-11-25 TACO Pressure Index Update: Low at 6.30

This custom framework combines equities, front-end rates, inflation expectations, and volatility into one daily score. On 2025-11-25, the score printed 6.30/100 in the low regime, with volatility and inflation expectations doing most of the work. Equities also provided visible relief through a positive 5-session move.

Composite score6.30
RegimeLOW
Published2025-11-25

Automated market-pressure update for 2025-11-25: the TACO Pressure Index closed at 6.30/100, signaling a low pressure regime as volatility and inflation expectations shaped the daily read. A positive 5-session S&P move also added equity relief. Explore the score history, daily post, and the four-factor dashboard.

Pressure history

Composite score history

Trailing 55 sessions through 2025-11-25

Latest component scores

Bar chart of the latest component scores

Today’s component breakdown

VIX volatility pressure

19.97/100

18.56 index level

Latest: 18.56 on 2025-11-25

Higher implied volatility usually means greater market stress.

Inflation expectations pressure

16.20/100

2.27% level, -9.00 bp vs 5 sessions 60% level + 40% change

Latest: 2.27 on 2025-11-25

Inflation pressure reflects both the breakeven level and any fresh 5-session rise.

2Y Treasury rate pressure

11.47/100

3.43% level, -15.00 bp vs 5 sessions 60% level + 40% change

Latest: 3.43 on 2025-11-25

Rates pressure reflects both the current 2Y level and any fresh 5-session rise.

S&P 500 equity signal

-22.45/100

+2.25% vs 5 sessions | pressure 0.00 | relief 44.90 signed 5-session move

Latest: 6,765.88 on 2025-11-25

A 5-session drawdown adds pressure. A 5-session rally adds relief and can partially offset the composite score.

Method in one paragraph

The TACO Pressure Index converts four live market inputs into comparable component scores and combines them into one composite reading. The equity leg is symmetric: 5-session drawdowns add pressure, while 5-session rallies add relief and can partially offset the total score. Rates, inflation, and volatility still combine a level component with a 5-session change component before the final result is grouped into LOW, ELEVATED, HIGH, and EXTREME regimes.