2025-12-17 TACO Pressure Index Update: Elevated at 25.17

The index is designed to approximate how market stress can build pressure for a softer policy posture. On 2025-12-17, the score printed 25.17/100 in the elevated regime, with equity signal and volatility doing most of the work.

Composite score25.17
RegimeELEVATED
Published2025-12-17

New daily signal for 2025-12-17: the TACO Pressure Index closed at 25.17/100, signaling a elevated pressure regime as equity signal and volatility shaped the daily read. Read the charts, latest moves, and a concise market interpretation.

Pressure history

Composite score history

Trailing 70 sessions through 2025-12-17

Latest component scores

Bar chart of the latest component scores

Today’s component breakdown

S&P 500 equity signal

47.99/100

-2.40% vs 5 sessions | pressure 47.99 | relief 0.00 signed 5-session move

Latest: 6,721.43 on 2025-12-17

A 5-session drawdown adds pressure. A 5-session rally adds relief and can partially offset the composite score.

VIX volatility pressure

24.04/100

17.62 index level

Latest: 17.62 on 2025-12-17

Higher implied volatility usually means greater market stress.

Inflation expectations pressure

15.60/100

2.26% level, -6.00 bp vs 5 sessions 60% level + 40% change

Latest: 2.26 on 2025-12-17

Inflation pressure reflects both the breakeven level and any fresh 5-session rise.

2Y Treasury rate pressure

13.07/100

3.49% level, -5.00 bp vs 5 sessions 60% level + 40% change

Latest: 3.49 on 2025-12-17

Rates pressure reflects both the current 2Y level and any fresh 5-session rise.

Method in one paragraph

The TACO Pressure Index converts four live market inputs into comparable component scores and combines them into one composite reading. The equity leg is symmetric: 5-session drawdowns add pressure, while 5-session rallies add relief and can partially offset the total score. Rates, inflation, and volatility still combine a level component with a 5-session change component before the final result is grouped into LOW, ELEVATED, HIGH, and EXTREME regimes.