2025-12-26 TACO Pressure Index Update: Low at 1.86
It is not a forecast of policy decisions; it is a structured way to monitor pressure building across markets. On 2025-12-26, the score printed 1.86/100 in the low regime, with inflation expectations and front-end rate pressure doing most of the work. Equities also provided visible relief through a positive 5-session move.
Daily pressure check for 2025-12-26: the TACO Pressure Index closed at 1.86/100, signaling a low pressure regime as inflation expectations and front-end rate pressure shaped the daily read. A positive 5-session S&P move also added equity relief. Explore the score history, daily post, and the four-factor dashboard.
Pressure history
Composite score history
Trailing 76 sessions through 2025-12-26
Latest component scores
Today’s component breakdown
Inflation expectations pressure
13.20/100
Inflation pressure reflects both the breakeven level and any fresh 5-session rise.
2Y Treasury rate pressure
12.27/100
Rates pressure reflects both the current 2Y level and any fresh 5-session rise.
VIX volatility pressure
4.87/100
Higher implied volatility usually means greater market stress.
S&P 500 equity signal
-22.91/100
A 5-session drawdown adds pressure. A 5-session rally adds relief and can partially offset the composite score.
Method in one paragraph
The TACO Pressure Index converts four live market inputs into comparable component scores and combines them into one composite reading. The equity leg is symmetric: 5-session drawdowns add pressure, while 5-session rallies add relief and can partially offset the total score. Rates, inflation, and volatility still combine a level component with a 5-session change component before the final result is grouped into LOW, ELEVATED, HIGH, and EXTREME regimes.