2026-01-21 TACO Pressure Index Update: Elevated at 26.52
It is not a forecast of policy decisions; it is a structured way to monitor pressure building across markets. On 2026-01-21, the score printed 26.52/100 in the elevated regime, with inflation expectations and front-end rate pressure doing most of the work.
Today’s retreat-pressure snapshot for 2026-01-21: the TACO Pressure Index closed at 26.52/100, signaling a elevated pressure regime as inflation expectations and front-end rate pressure shaped the daily read. Includes charts, a component breakdown, and a narrative summary.
Pressure history
Composite score history
Trailing 90 sessions through 2026-01-21
Latest component scores
Today’s component breakdown
Inflation expectations pressure
35.20/100
Inflation pressure reflects both the breakeven level and any fresh 5-session rise.
2Y Treasury rate pressure
27.20/100
Rates pressure reflects both the current 2Y level and any fresh 5-session rise.
S&P 500 equity signal
25.31/100
A 5-session drawdown adds pressure. A 5-session rally adds relief and can partially offset the composite score.
VIX volatility pressure
18.36/100
Higher implied volatility usually means greater market stress.
Method in one paragraph
The TACO Pressure Index converts four live market inputs into comparable component scores and combines them into one composite reading. The equity leg is symmetric: 5-session drawdowns add pressure, while 5-session rallies add relief and can partially offset the total score. Rates, inflation, and volatility still combine a level component with a 5-session change component before the final result is grouped into LOW, ELEVATED, HIGH, and EXTREME regimes.