2026-02-18 TACO Pressure Index Update: Low at 22.25

This custom framework combines equities, front-end rates, inflation expectations, and volatility into one daily score. On 2026-02-18, the score printed 22.25/100 in the low regime, with volatility and inflation expectations doing most of the work.

Composite score22.25
RegimeLOW
Published2026-02-18

Policy pressure tracker for 2026-02-18: the TACO Pressure Index closed at 22.25/100, signaling a low pressure regime as volatility and inflation expectations shaped the daily read. Explore the score history, daily post, and the four-factor dashboard.

Pressure history

Composite score history

Trailing 90 sessions through 2026-02-18

Latest component scores

Bar chart of the latest component scores

Today’s component breakdown

VIX volatility pressure

30.05/100

19.62 index level

Latest: 19.62 on 2026-02-18

Higher implied volatility usually means greater market stress.

Inflation expectations pressure

25.80/100

2.43% level, -4.00 bp vs 5 sessions 60% level + 40% change

Latest: 2.43 on 2026-02-18

Inflation pressure reflects both the breakeven level and any fresh 5-session rise.

S&P 500 equity signal

17.43/100

-0.87% vs 5 sessions | pressure 17.43 | relief 0.00 signed 5-session move

Latest: 6,881.31 on 2026-02-18

A 5-session drawdown adds pressure. A 5-session rally adds relief and can partially offset the composite score.

2Y Treasury rate pressure

15.73/100

3.47% level, +2.00 bp vs 5 sessions 60% level + 40% change

Latest: 3.47 on 2026-02-18

Rates pressure reflects both the current 2Y level and any fresh 5-session rise.

Method in one paragraph

The TACO Pressure Index converts four live market inputs into comparable component scores and combines them into one composite reading. The equity leg is symmetric: 5-session drawdowns add pressure, while 5-session rallies add relief and can partially offset the total score. Rates, inflation, and volatility still combine a level component with a 5-session change component before the final result is grouped into LOW, ELEVATED, HIGH, and EXTREME regimes.