2026-03-12 TACO Pressure Index Update: High at 54.64
The index is designed to approximate how market stress can build pressure for a softer policy posture. On 2026-03-12, the score printed 54.64/100 in the high regime, with inflation expectations and volatility doing most of the work.
Policy pressure tracker for 2026-03-12: the TACO Pressure Index closed at 54.64/100, signaling a high pressure regime as inflation expectations and volatility shaped the daily read. Explore the score history, daily post, and the four-factor dashboard.
Pressure history
Composite score history
Trailing 90 sessions through 2026-03-12
Latest component scores
Today’s component breakdown
Inflation expectations pressure
61.80/100
Inflation pressure reflects both the breakeven level and any fresh 5-session rise.
VIX volatility pressure
59.81/100
Higher implied volatility usually means greater market stress.
2Y Treasury rate pressure
50.67/100
Rates pressure reflects both the current 2Y level and any fresh 5-session rise.
S&P 500 equity signal
46.29/100
A 5-session drawdown adds pressure. A 5-session rally adds relief and can partially offset the composite score.
Method in one paragraph
The TACO Pressure Index converts four live market inputs into comparable component scores and combines them into one composite reading. The equity leg is symmetric: 5-session drawdowns add pressure, while 5-session rallies add relief and can partially offset the total score. Rates, inflation, and volatility still combine a level component with a 5-session change component before the final result is grouped into LOW, ELEVATED, HIGH, and EXTREME regimes.