2026-05-18 TACO Pressure Index Update: Elevated at 28.37
This custom framework combines equities, front-end rates, inflation expectations, and volatility into one daily score. On 2026-05-18, the score printed 28.37/100 in the elevated regime, with front-end rate pressure and inflation expectations doing most of the work.
New daily signal for 2026-05-18: the TACO Pressure Index closed at 28.37/100, signaling a elevated pressure regime as front-end rate pressure and inflation expectations shaped the daily read. See the chart pack, score regime, and what drove the latest reading.
Pressure history
Composite score history
Trailing 90 sessions through 2026-05-18
Latest component scores
Today’s component breakdown
2Y Treasury rate pressure
47.73/100
Rates pressure reflects both the current 2Y level and any fresh 5-session rise.
Inflation expectations pressure
45.40/100
Inflation pressure reflects both the breakeven level and any fresh 5-session rise.
VIX volatility pressure
17.71/100
Higher implied volatility usually means greater market stress.
S&P 500 equity signal
2.64/100
A 5-session drawdown adds pressure. A 5-session rally adds relief and can partially offset the composite score.
Method in one paragraph
The TACO Pressure Index converts four live market inputs into comparable component scores and combines them into one composite reading. The equity leg is symmetric: 5-session drawdowns add pressure, while 5-session rallies add relief and can partially offset the total score. Rates, inflation, and volatility still combine a level component with a 5-session change component before the final result is grouped into LOW, ELEVATED, HIGH, and EXTREME regimes.