2026-06-25 TACO Pressure Index Update: Low at 20.60
It is not a forecast of policy decisions; it is a structured way to monitor pressure building across markets. On 2026-06-25, the score printed 20.60/100 in the low regime, with front-end rate pressure and volatility doing most of the work.
Daily pressure check for 2026-06-25: the TACO Pressure Index closed at 20.60/100, signaling a low pressure regime as front-end rate pressure and volatility shaped the daily read. See the chart pack, score regime, and what drove the latest reading.
Pressure history
Composite score history
Trailing 90 sessions through 2026-06-25
Latest component scores
Today’s component breakdown
2Y Treasury rate pressure
29.07/100
Rates pressure reflects both the current 2Y level and any fresh 5-session rise.
VIX volatility pressure
22.66/100
Higher implied volatility usually means greater market stress.
S&P 500 equity signal
16.88/100
A 5-session drawdown adds pressure. A 5-session rally adds relief and can partially offset the composite score.
Inflation expectations pressure
13.80/100
Inflation pressure reflects both the breakeven level and any fresh 5-session rise.
Method in one paragraph
The TACO Pressure Index converts four live market inputs into comparable component scores and combines them into one composite reading. The equity leg is symmetric: 5-session drawdowns add pressure, while 5-session rallies add relief and can partially offset the total score. Rates, inflation, and volatility still combine a level component with a 5-session change component before the final result is grouped into LOW, ELEVATED, HIGH, and EXTREME regimes.