2026-09-02 TACO Pressure Index Update: Elevated at 27.54

It is not a forecast of policy decisions; it is a structured way to monitor pressure building across markets. On 2026-09-02, the score printed 27.54/100 in the elevated regime, with front-end rate pressure and inflation expectations doing most of the work.

Composite score27.54
RegimeELEVATED
Published2026-09-02

New daily signal for 2026-09-02: the TACO Pressure Index closed at 27.54/100, signaling a elevated pressure regime as front-end rate pressure and inflation expectations shaped the daily read. Explore the score history, daily post, and the four-factor dashboard.

Pressure history

Composite score history

Trailing 90 sessions through 2026-09-02

Latest component scores

Bar chart of the latest component scores

Today’s component breakdown

2Y Treasury rate pressure

69.07/100

4.39% level, +20.00 bp vs 5 sessions 60% level + 40% change

Latest: 4.39 on 2026-09-02

Rates pressure reflects both the current 2Y level and any fresh 5-session rise.

Inflation expectations pressure

29.00/100

2.35% level, +4.00 bp vs 5 sessions 60% level + 40% change

Latest: 2.35 on 2026-09-02

Inflation pressure reflects both the breakeven level and any fresh 5-session rise.

VIX volatility pressure

9.74/100

15.2 index level

Latest: 15.20 on 2026-09-02

Higher implied volatility usually means greater market stress.

S&P 500 equity signal

2.37/100

-0.12% vs 5 sessions | pressure 2.37 | relief 0.00 signed 5-session move

Latest: 7,666.60 on 2026-09-02

A 5-session drawdown adds pressure. A 5-session rally adds relief and can partially offset the composite score.

Method in one paragraph

The TACO Pressure Index converts four live market inputs into comparable component scores and combines them into one composite reading. The equity leg is symmetric: 5-session drawdowns add pressure, while 5-session rallies add relief and can partially offset the total score. Rates, inflation, and volatility still combine a level component with a 5-session change component before the final result is grouped into LOW, ELEVATED, HIGH, and EXTREME regimes.